Thursday, September 12, 2019

Are the Patriots a lock after Week One to make the Super Bowl?

Week 1 turned out exactly as expected. Just as I expect the Patriots to be in the Super Bowl when the game finally rolls around. But there’s no guarantee of anything. As the Giants showed them twice, all it takes is one spectacular play in the playoffs to uproot a Super Bowl run.
Injuries happen. If Edelman or Antonio Brown goes down, it’s not the end of the world. I think that point was clear week one. If Brady goes down, that might be doom for this year. If Stephon Gilmore gets hurt, the pass coverage gets really shaken up if not derailed. Gilmore’s ability to entirely and effectively shut down a #2 receiver means that the team can use double coverage on the #1 and make it very difficult to advance the ball downfield. Without an all-pro corner, the defense would likely be in disarray.
I’d put the odds of the Patriots to win the Super Bowl about three times higher than anyone else. But all that can change very quickly.

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